
It
is unlikely but not impossible that Greece will be forced out of the
Eurozone. The Syriza government wants to avoid a painful "Greexit" and
European and German capitalism does not want a shake up endangering the
foundations of the Euro. Most likely is a game of brinkmanship with both
sides compromising at the eleventh-hour. Syriza and its leader Alexis
Tsipras, however, cannot retreat on two matters - there has to be some
relief on life and limb crushing austerity, and secondly a part of the
proposed privatisation package will have to be shelved. The big threat
facing European capitalism is that if Spain follows Greece electing the
similar-to-Syriza left-populist Podemos alliance at the next election,
the entire Eurozone will unravel. Recall also that the anti-Euro
rightwing is gaining ground in many European countries, notably France.
There is no mechanism to exit the Euro as such an eventuality was not
imagined; the messy exit of two countries followed by unravelling of the
Euro will create a global financial catastrophe on the scale of the
2008 melt down of the American financial economy.