A Brief Colonial History Of Ceylon(SriLanka)
Sri Lanka: One Island Two Nations
A Brief Colonial History Of Ceylon(SriLanka)
Sri Lanka: One Island Two Nations
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Thiranjala Weerasinghe sj.- One Island Two Nations
?????????????????????????????????????????????????Friday, June 2, 2017
Myanmar: Peace Process with Chinese Characteristics
( May 31, 2017, New Delhi, Sri Lanka Guardian) One
narrative that is all too prominent in the second Union Peace
Conference- officially called the 21st century Panglong Conference is
the role of China and its proxies before and during the Conference.
In answering a question whether the Peace process relies on China, the
Spokesperson of the Burmese State Counselor’s office U Zaw Htay admitted
frankly that China plays an “important part” in the peace process.
What is noticed is the “behind the scene” activities of China which
appears to be intent on steering the entire peace process away from the
influence of UN, Japan and Western powers and take full control of the
process. At the same time China is continuing to declare its neutrality
in the whole process!
One important development has been that the hitherto passive pro China
UWSA is taking a leading role in dealing with the government and in
beginning a parallel peace process from the government-sponsored route
of National Cease fire agreement and dialogue thereafter.
This process of active intervention of the Chinese proxy UWSA (United Wa
State Army) is seen to have begun in February this year almost three
months ahead of the Peace Conference at Napithaw, when it backed the
offensive of the norther alliance consisting of the Kokang, the Ta’ang
National Liberation Army, the Arakan Army and most importantly the
second most powerful ethnic group the KIA in the North East close to the
Chinese border.
This offensive though provoked by the Tatmadaw’s (Army) earlier, has
been intensified by the alliance with the declared objective of seeking
an alternative route from the National Cease fire agreement formally
initiated by the government and supported by the United Nations and
other western countries.
In backing the offensive, the UWSA formed a new seven party alliance,
calling itself “Federal Political and Consultative Committee” marking a
paradigm shift from bilateral cease fire to one of taking a leading role
in the whole peace process. This shift could not have occurred without
Chinese blessings. It is well known by now that the UWSA whose area with
Pangshang as Hqrs it close to the Chinese border is the biggest ethnic
insurgent unit with over 30,000 fighters supported and equipped by China
with modern weaponry. It is said that the Wa territory is a “no go”
area and even Tatmadaw will have to inform the UWSA before entering
their territory.
Parallel to this development is the unconfirmed report that the KIA/KIO
has left the UNFC (United National Federal Council) thus making this
organization irrelevant to the entire peace process. Another ethnic unit
the Shan State Progressives party has also left the UNFC. Thus the UNFC
which had boycotted the second peace conference has become considerably
weaker in the absence of the two dominant groups and may no longer be
relevant to the peace process.
What will now be relevant to the peace process will be the weak patch
work pro government -8 parties who signed the National Cease-fire
agreement in October 2015 and the newly formed alliance led by UWSA that
has called itself the Federal Political and Consultative committee and
had suggested an alternate route to the peace process. This group which
is powerful with the coming together of the UWSA and the KIO has other
units like the Shan State Progressive party/Shan State Army -North, Tang
National Liberation Army, the National Democratic group the Mongla, the
Kokang and the Arakan Army in the alliance.
The Tatmadaw had earlier justly opposed the inclusion of the last three-
Kokang, TNLA and the AA in joining the peace process without first
surrendering their arms as they had sprouted only after the cease fire
agreement of 2015.
Chinese intervention was responsible in forcing the Burmese Army and the
government with its chief negotiator to relent and invite the three
armed groups as “special guests’ to the conference. What is more, the
State Counselor was to meet the groups for talks during the conference- a
change from total exclusion to one of legitimization with the Counselor
herself talking directly to the groups.
The Chinese ambassador to Myanmar- Hong Liang is also said to have
attended the closed door meeting of the northern groups with the
government’s peace negotiating team.
The Irrawady of 23rd May reported that the Chinese Special Envoy Sun
Guoxiang met Suu Kyi, Army Chief Ming Ang Liang and the government’s
chief negotiator on behalf of the new groups and to get them invited as
special guests. The Press had also reported that the leaders of the
three groups- the Kokang (who are still fighting in the north), the TNLA
and the AA were kept ready in Yunnan province to be flown immediately
to Napithaw once the invitation for the conference was made by the
government.
So much for the declared policy of China of non interference in the
internal affairs of another country. When Xi Jinping mentioned to Suu
Kyi at the OBOR summit that China would provide necessary assistance to
Burma’s peace process- what he meant was that the process will hereafter
be between the Chinese supported groups and the Myanmar government to
ensure peace and stability of the region to the exclusion of other
countries.
This means that the parallel peace process now initiated by Chinese
proxies with the backing of China may take the centre stage and peace
process will now become one with “Chinese Characteristics.”