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?????????????????????????????????????????????????Thursday, July 27, 2017
Poll: Americans split 42%-42% on impeaching Trump
The USA Today and iMediaEthics poll shows half of voters are for Trump being impeached while the other half are against it. Buzz60
Susan Page and Emma Kinery, USA TODAYPublished 5:00 a.m. ET July 24, 2017 | Updated 5:22 p.m. ET July 25, 2017
CORRECTIONS AND CLARIFICATIONS: An earlier version of this story misstated the percentage of respondents who said President Trump wasn't likely to complete his first term. The correct number is 36%.
Susan Page and Emma Kinery, USA TODAYPublished 5:00 a.m. ET July 24, 2017 | Updated 5:22 p.m. ET July 25, 2017
CORRECTIONS AND CLARIFICATIONS: An earlier version of this story misstated the percentage of respondents who said President Trump wasn't likely to complete his first term. The correct number is 36%.
WASHINGTON — Just six months after his inauguration, Americans already
are split down the middle, 42%-42%, over whether President Trump should
be removed from office, a new USA TODAY/iMediaEthics Poll finds.
While no serious effort is now underway in Congress to impeach Trump,
the results underscore how quickly political passions have become
inflamed both for and against the outsider candidate who won last year's
campaign in a surprise. A third of those surveyed say they would be
upset if Trump is impeached; an equal third say they would be upset if
he's not.
Those findings, designed to measure the intensity of opinion, also show a perfect divide, 34%-34%.
"I don't really trust him — all the things he's done while he's in
office, all of the lies, the investigation that goes on with him, the
things he says to his staff," Vera Peete, 47, of Antioch, Calif., said
in a follow-up phone interview. The caregiver from suburban San
Francisco, an independent who voted for Democrat Hillary Clinton for
president, was among those surveyed.
The online poll of 1,330 adults, taken July 17-19 by SurveyUSA, has a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points.
Americans are braced for turmoil ahead.
More than a third, 36%, say Trump isn't likely to complete his first
term, for whatever reason. Only about one in four, 27%, express
confidence he'll serve all four years of his term. Even one in 10
Republicans doubt he'll finish his tenure.
"These results suggest that Trump is probably the most beleaguered
first-term president in the country’s history, and certainly in modern
history — highly unpopular among the public, with a significant portion
clamoring for his impeachment barely six months after his
inauguration,"
says David Moore, a senior fellow at the University of New Hampshire and polling director for iMediaEthics.org, a nonprofit, non-partisan news site.
Read more:
In the poll, 44% approve of the job Trump is doing, 51% disapprove. His
opposition is more intense than his support: 38% strongly disapprove of
him; 22% strongly approve.
Nearly seven in 10 Democrats say Trump should be impeached. So do 36% of
independents and, perhaps surprisingly, 15% of Republicans.
Sherman argued that the ousting of Comey, who was leading the
investigation into Russia, amounted to the "high crimes and
misdemeanors" required in the Constitution for removal from office.
In a speech on the House floor in May, Rep. Al Green, D-Texas, also called for Trump's impeachment.
But more senior Democrats haven't joined in. House Democratic leader
Nancy Pelosi has called instead for creating an outside, independent
commission to investigate the Russia allegations. House Republicans, who
hold a 46-seat majority, are unlikely to entertain the possibility of
removing the president.
That said, if Democrats won control of the House in next year's midterm
elections, the party's base might press for a debate on the issue,
especially depending on what the Russia investigations conclude.
Special counsel Robert Mueller and congressional oversight committees
are investigating meddling in the 2016 election by Moscow that U.S.
intelligence agencies have concluded were designed to help Trump and
hurt Clinton. The inquiries are examining whether Trump associates may
have colluded with the Russians, an allegation the president strongly
denies.
Support for impeachment is stronger among younger people than older
ones; 51% of those under 35 but just 33% among those 50 and older say
Trump should be removed from office. Women are more likely than men to
back impeachment, 46% compared with 38%. There is also a racial and
ethnic divide. Two-thirds of African-Americans and a majority of
Hispanics back impeachment, compared with a third of whites.
"I believe in 2018 they will vote enough Democrats and independents in
to impeach him," says Jeffrey Hobbs, 49, of Ochlocknee, a town of 605 in
southern Georgia. He voted for Republican Mitt Romney in 2012 but
didn't cast a ballot in 2016, and now he vows to never vote Republican
again because of the GOP's failure to stand up to Trump.
Trump denounces the Russia allegations as a "political witch hunt," and
his aides and allies argue he is the victim of biased news coverage.
"At the end of the day, I think, when those investigations are over, it
will be another chapter in Washington scandals incorporated, that we had
to have a scandal going on and gin up all this sort of nonsense, so
that we could distract the president from his agenda and his people, and
run around chasing something that's all about nothing," the new White
House communications director, Anthony Scaramucci, said dismissively on
CBS' Face the Nation, one of a series of appearances he made on Sunday talk shows.
Opponents of other modern presidents have backed impeachment, even when
that didn't seem to be a realistic prospect. In 2014, a third of those
surveyed by CNN/ORC said Barack Obama should be impeached; 65% said he
shouldn't. In 2006, 30% said George W. Bush should be impeached; 69%
disagreed.
As the Watergate scandal unfolded in 1973 and 1974, the Gallup Poll
showed support for impeaching Richard Nixon steadily grew. It rose from
19% in June 1973 to 57% in August 1974, when he resigned in the face of
his almost certain removal from office.
Bill Clinton is the only modern president to be impeached by the House,
though the Senate refused to convict him on charges of perjury and
obstruction of justice in connection with the Monica Lewinsky affair.
Even as the House was moving to impeach him, though, Gallup found the
public opposed to the step by 2-1.
No president since Nixon has faced as broad and fervent calls for his
ouster as Trump does now, a situation that creates complicated
cross-currents for him in politics and governing.
House Speaker Paul Ryan last month dismissed a reporter's suggestion
that Republicans would be suggesting impeachment if a Democratic
president had been accused of the same actions as Trump.
"No, I don't think we would, actually," he said. "I don't think that's at all the case."
In the new poll, more than one in four, 27%, say Congress already has
enough evidence to impeach Trump. Another 30% say there isn't sufficient
evidence yet but predict there eventually will be from ongoing
investigations.
Only about a third of those surveyed, 31%, say there will never be enough evidence to justify removing Trump from office.