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?????????????????????????????????????????????????Saturday, April 27, 2019
A majority of Americans oppose impeachment. Most also say Trump lied to the public.
President Trump speaks with reporters on the South Lawn at the White House on Friday. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)
A majority of Americans say they oppose calls for Congress to launch
impeachment proceedings against President Trump in the wake of special
counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s investigation into Russian interference
in the 2016 election and whether the president sought to interfere with
the probe, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.
Thirty-seven percent of Americans favor starting the process that could
lead to impeachment, a slight dip over the past month, while 56 percent
say they oppose the idea, about the same as a month ago.
House Democrats are grappling with the question of how to proceed in
light of Mueller’s findings and the public release of the redacted
report, which detailed multiple examples of potential obstruction of
justice.
Democrats are looking for a plan
of attack with the release of the redacted Mueller report and Attorney
General Barr’s upcoming congressional testimonies. (Blair Guild/The Washington Post)
The new survey highlights the dilemma faced by House Speaker Nancy
Pelosi (D-Calif.) and other leaders in her caucus: While party leaders
have sought to tamp down impeachment talk, worried that engaging in such
a process would backfire in the 2020 election, their political base
supports it.
Roughly 6 in 10 Democrats say they support the initiation of such an
investigation in the House, with 53 percent saying they hold that view
strongly. Meanwhile, nearly 9 in 10 Republicans oppose impeachment, with
78 percent strongly opposed.
About 6 in 10 independents are against impeachment now, and independents
are more opposed today than they were when measured in a January poll —
a sign of the potential political danger for Democrats as they seek to
win back key centrist voters in their goal of beating Trump next year.

House Democratic leaders have said they will pursue various
investigations, including possible obstruction of justice by the
president, although they have so far stopped short of embracing the idea
of impeachment. Some Democratic presidential candidates say the Mueller report justifies pursuing such proceedings, however, and are urging House leaders to move ahead.
Overall, the Post-ABC survey finds that partisan allegiance colors the
views of Americans about what the Mueller report found, what it means
and what should be done as a result. But on one question there was
agreement across the political spectrum.
Mueller receives positive marks from Democrats and Republicans, with 53
percent of Democrats, 56 percent of Republicans and 51 percent of
independents saying they believe the report was fair and evenhanded.
Fewer than 3 in 10 of any partisan group say the report was not fair.
That marks a significant shift in attitudes since January, when barely
one-fifth of Republicans (22 percent) thought Mueller’s report would be
fair, while 62 percent of Democrats had confidence in the special
counsel to issue an evenhanded report.
Trump has repeatedly denounced the investigation, both as it was taking
place and since, calling the matter a “witch hunt” and allegations of
collusion a “hoax.” The president’s credibility is called into question
by a majority of Americans, with 58 percent saying they believed he has
lied to the public about matters under investigation by the special
counsel. One in 3 say they believe he has told the truth.

Mueller’s report said the investigation did not establish that there was
a conspiracy among Trump campaign officials to work with the Russians
to sabotage the 2016 election, though there were many contacts between
campaign associates and Russians with ties to their government detailed
in the report.
On the question of obstruction, the report cited multiple examples in
which Trump appeared to seek to interfere with Mueller’s investigation,
but Mueller said he believed that Justice Department policy that says
the president cannot be indicted in office also meant he should draw no
conclusion as to whether the president committed a crime. For that
reason, the investigation did not offer a conclusion as to whether the
president’s actions constituted obstruction. Attorney General William P.
Barr declared that the findings did not justify a criminal charge of
obstruction.
The evidence of interference presented in the report has spurred
Democrats to push for documents, hearings and testimony from current or
former Trump administration officials, action that is seen as a prelude
to possible impeachment proceedings. Trump said earlier this week he
opposes such testimony and will fight any subpoenas issued by House
Democrats, setting up a lengthy legal clash and a standoff between the
executive and legislative branches.
Trump has declared “total exoneration” by the Mueller report, despite
the clear statement in the report that investigators did not reach that
conclusion. Asked their view of whether the report cleared Trump of all
wrongdoing, 53 percent of Americans say it did not while 31 say it did.
Among Republicans, 61 percent say they believe Mueller’s investigation
cleared Trump of all wrongdoing, while 87 percent of Democrats say it
did not.
On the question of whether Trump tried to obstruct Mueller’s probe, 47
percent say he did try to interfere while 41 percent say he did not.
This finding masks lopsided opinions among partisans. Roughly 8 in 10
Democrats say Trump tried to interfere with the investigation in a way
that amounts to obstruction of justice, while almost 8 in 10 Republicans
say Trump did not do this.

The White House on April 18, the day the Mueller report was released to the public. (Salwan Georges/The Washington Post)
In the current Post-ABC poll, Trump’s overall approval rating stands at
39 percent, a statistically insignificant change from January, when it
was 37 percent. Among registered voters, his approval rating is 42
percent. His disapproval rating among all adults (as well as among
registered voters) is at 54 percent, down slightly from 58 percent in
January. At the time of the earlier survey, Trump and congressional
Democrats were in a dispute over funding for a border wall, which had
led to a partial shutdown of the government.
A 58 percent majority of Americans say the Mueller report has not
changed their impression of the Trump administration. Among those whose
views have changed, 23 percent say they view the administration more
negatively while 11 percent view it more positively.
Slightly more than 1 in 3 Americans say the Mueller investigation makes
them less likely to support Trump’s reelection in 2020, while 14 percent
say they are more likely and a plurality of 46 percent say the findings
are not a factor in their choice for the next election. Unsurprisingly,
the biggest block of people who say they are more likely to oppose
Trump for reelection is among Democrats.
The survey finds a clear partisan split on the question of whether,
based on the Mueller report and other available information, the Russian
efforts to interfere in the 2016 election undermined the legitimacy of
the outcome. Overall, 49 percent say it did not rise to that level,
while 42 percent say the Russian role undermined the election’s
legitimacy. Roughly 7 in 10 Democrats say it did, while about 8 in 10
Republicans say it did not.
Looking forward, 76 percent of Democrats say possible Russian
interference represents a threat — major or not so major — to the
legitimacy of the 2020 election, while 61 percent of Republicans say it
does not threaten its legitimacy.
Support for impeachment is higher among Americans younger than 40 than
among those older. It is highest among African Americans, 69 percent of
whom say they favor it. The strongest opposition to impeachment comes
from white evangelical Christians, white men without college degrees,
white mainline Protestants and white Catholics. Support is higher in the
Northeast and in the West than it is in the South and the Midwest.
The Post-ABC poll was
conducted by telephone April 22-25 among a random national sample of
1,001 adults, with 65 percent reached on cellphones and 35 percent on
landlines. Overall results have a margin of sampling error of plus or
minus 3.5 percentage points.
Emily Guskin contributed to this report.

