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The
appointment of Mahinda Rajapaksa as Sri Lanka’s Prime Minister
consolidates the hold of the Rajapaksa family on power. The change was
entirely on expected lines, after his younger brother, Gotabaya
Rajapaksa, won decisively in the presidential election. Outgoing Prime
Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, whose party’s candidate lost the
election, submitted his resignation, thus enabling the newly-elected
President to appoint a new Prime Minister. Under the country’s
constitutional scheme, the President is directly elected, and heads the
Cabinet, even while the Prime Minister he appoints ought to be one who
commands a majority in Parliament. Even though the
Sri Lanka Podujana
Peramuna, the party of the Rajapaksas, does not have the requisite
numbers, it is unlikely to be an issue, as it is expected to be only a
caretaker regime until the next parliamentary elections, due in late
2020. Under the 19th Amendment to the Constitution introduced in 2015,
the President may dissolve the House six months prior to the end of its
term, which effectively means it could be dissolved any time after
March. Mahinda Rajapaksa has emerged as Sri Lanka’s most popular leader
today. Few will doubt that his acumen and personal charisma were crucial
to his brother’s victory. His presence in an official role in the
corridors of power will be vital in the way the President runs the
country and handles external relations.
However, the prospect of the country’s two most powerful offices being
vested in a single family does raise concerns. The 2015 mandate against
Mahinda Rajapaksa was one for reform and change. It led to the 19th
amendment, which curbed the President’s powers, especially the power to
dismiss the Prime Minister and his Cabinet at will, and the two-term
limit on contesting for President. The question now is whether the gains
it brought about for democracy will last. Mahinda Rajapaksa’s reaction
to the election result contained a specific reference to the
“complications” in governance caused by the amendment, and promised a
“programme of action”. It would be a retrograde step, if they embark on
any move to overturn the gains of the legislation. A return to
ancien régime was
undoubtedly one of the concerns of the minorities when they voted
against Gotabaya Rajapaksa. India’s move in sending External Affairs
Minister S. Jaishankar to call on the new President has signalled an
eagerness to preserve its traditional ties with Sri Lanka as well as its
interests. It is particularly welcome that India has conveyed its
expectations that the process of national reconciliation would be taken
forward by the new regime, with a solution for the Tamil population
based on equality, justice, peace and dignity at the core of it.